Jay Sanin on September 17, 2024
Lance Lynn projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals on Sep 17, 2024
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.
Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 81°.
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Lance Lynn (38.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected offense.
Lance Lynn's higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (64 compared to 56.2% last season) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the worst venue in MLB for home runs.
Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium's right field fences are the 2nd-deepest.
Lance Lynn will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing hitters today.
Lance Lynn is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.
The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today.
Lance Lynn is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the worst venue in MLB for home runs.
Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium's right field fences are the 2nd-deepest.
Lance Lynn will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing hitters today.
Lance Lynn is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.
The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today.
Recording 15.2 outs per start this year on average, Lance Lynn falls in the 25th percentile.
It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.
Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 81°.
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Lance Lynn (38.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected offense.
Lance Lynn is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz, Billy Cook).
Lance Lynn will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing hitters today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Lance Lynn will hold that advantage today.
Lance Lynn was rolling in his previous outing and posted 7 strikeouts.
Lance Lynn's 2453-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 89th percentile out of all SPs.
Busch Stadium ranks as the #25 venue in the majors for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 81°.
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Lance Lynn (38.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected offense.
Lance Lynn's higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (64 compared to 56.2% last season) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Lance Lynn's 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 23rd percentile out of all SPs.
Lance Lynn is projected to have 5.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
