Justin Wrobleski projections, stats and prop bet odds for Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks on Sep 1, 2024
Justin Wrobleski Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -100
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Wrobleski today.
Over his previous 3 GS, Justin Wrobleski has seen a notable decline in his fastball velocity: from 94.5 mph over the whole season to 93.5 mph recently.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Justin Wrobleski has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 65.3% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks in today's game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .306, which is significantly lower than their actual wOBA of .332 this year.
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in the game this year.
Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.
Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 27%.
Out of all starters, Justin Wrobleski's fastball velocity of 94.5 mph grades out in the 80th percentile this year.
Projection For Today's Justin Wrobleski Earned Runs Prop Bet
Justin Wrobleski is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.
Justin Wrobleski Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: -115
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -119
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 27%.
Out of all starters, Justin Wrobleski's fastball velocity of 94.5 mph grades out in the 80th percentile this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Wrobleski to throw 78 pitches today (least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.2% underlying K%.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Wrobleski today.
Over his previous 3 GS, Justin Wrobleski has seen a notable decline in his fastball velocity: from 94.5 mph over the whole season to 93.5 mph recently.
Projection For Today's Justin Wrobleski Strikeouts Prop Bet
Justin Wrobleski is projected to have 3.5 Strikeouts in todays game.
