Detroit Tigers
01:10 PM
ATS Picks on May 28, 2025
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 1.5 over: -195
Earned Runs 1.5 under: 135
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
It may be smart to expect positive regression for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for walks.
Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the worst out of every team in action today.
With a 1.08 difference between Jackson Jobe's 4.06 ERA and his 5.14 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and should perform worse in future games.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in the league.
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-coldest weather of the day at 58°.
With 6 hitters who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jackson Jobe figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Jackson Jobe is an extreme flyball pitcher (35% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #25 HR venue among all major league parks today.
Jackson Jobe is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 4.5 over: 100
Strikeouts 4.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-coldest weather of the day at 58°.
With 6 hitters who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jackson Jobe figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Considering that flyball pitchers have a sizeable edge over flyball bats, Jackson Jobe and his 34.9% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today's outing going up against 4 opposing FB bats.
Jackson Jobe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats in all categories.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Ranking in the 25th percentile, Jackson Jobe has recorded a 17.6% strikeout rate this year.
Jackson Jobe is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 133
Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -184
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in the league.
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-coldest weather of the day at 58°.
With 6 hitters who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jackson Jobe figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Jackson Jobe is an extreme flyball pitcher (35% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #25 HR venue among all major league parks today.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
Jackson Jobe has averaged 14.8 outs per game per started this year, placing in the 22nd percentile.
It may be smart to expect positive regression for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for walks.
Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the worst out of every team in action today.
Jackson Jobe is projected to have 15.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-117) | ov 4.5 (-120) | - | ov 4.5 (-120) | ov 4.5 (-117) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (121) | ov 2.5 (120) | - | ov 2.5 (120) | ov 2.5 (120) |
Total Outs Recorded | ov 15.5 (115) | ov 15.5 (100) | ov 15.5 (130) | ov 15.5 (-105) | ov 15.5 (133) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 4.5 (-104) | ov 4.5 (100) | ov 4.5 (-112) | ov 4.5 (100) | ov 4.5 (-103) |
Walks Allowed | ov 2.5 (139) | ov 2.5 (135) | - | - | ov 2.5 (143) |
