2026 NL MVP Award Pricing & Predictions: Who Will Win NL MVP?
Updated September 29, 2026
Updated September 29, 2026
The National League MVP Award is up for grabs again this season. With the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL, there is a ton of big-name talent looking to win the award as a member of the defending champions. But there are marquee players from several other NL teams that will try to claim it for themselves. Here, we break down the NL MVP award pricing and make our prediction as to what we think will happen.
The Chicago Cubs have a player on the doorstep of winning this year's NL MVP award. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the market favorite at the end of the regular season. At the Polymarket prediction market, Crow-Armstrong has monopolized the NL MVP market in 2026.
PCA has become a member of the 40-40 club this season, eclipsing 40 home runs and 40 stolen bases on the year. Chicago made the playoffs as a Wild Card team, with Crow-Armstrong having a lot to do with their playoff qualification. Not winning the division shouldn't hurt PCA's chances, no matter how the postseason goes for Chicago.
Those making MLB predictions before the start of this season saw Shohei Ohtani with a near-50% chance of winning NL MVP at Polymarket. But he has not seen his chances of winning the award improve from where they were at the start of the year. While Ohtani's been as dangerous as ever at the plate, his lack of time as a pitcher this season has blunted his value to some degree.
Ohtani last pitched before the All-Star break this season. And while he has been incredibly productive hitting, we have become so spoiled by his ability to impact the game in several ways that this year feels like a disappointment by his impossibly high standards. Injuries also derailed his chances late in the season, as it is highly unlikely that Ohtani wins the award.
We will go with Pete Crow-Armstrong to win this year's NL MVP award. PCA's numbers have been impressive, while there is a legitimate argument to be made that the Cubs wouldn't be a playoff team without him. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are loaded with stars and would likely be title contenders even without Ohtani. Expect the Cubbies' top offensive weapon to earn some individual hardware when this season concludes.
