The New York Mets head west trying to stop a rough stretch, while the Los Angeles Dodgers return home looking like one of the most complete teams in baseball. This series opener features a huge contrast in form, with the Mets struggling to score and the Dodgers thriving behind a deep lineup and steady pitching. With both teams dealing with injuries, the gap in consistency becomes a major factor heading into Monday night’s Mets vs Dodgers matchup.
Mets vs Dodgers Pick
- Pick: Dodgers -1.5
- Confidence: 4 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date & Time: Monday, April 13, 2026, 10:10 PM
- Starting Pitchers: David Peterson vs Justin Wrobleski
- Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Log Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN Unlimited
Key Storylines
- The Mets enter on a 5-game losing streak and have been shut out twice in their last 3 games.
- The Dodgers’ offense ranks among league leaders in runs, batting average, and slugging percentage. They are 11-4 early in the season.
- New York is dealing with key injuries including Juan Soto, limiting lineup production, which has been reflected in their win column.
- The Dodgers are enjoying strong home form with a 6-3 record in Los Angeles.
Pitching Matchup
- David Peterson: 0-2 record with a 6.14 ERA and 1.84 WHIP.
- Peterson has allowed 21 hits in 14.2 innings and struggled with control.
- Justin Wrobleski: 1-0 record with a 4.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
- Wrobleski is coming off a solid outing allowing 1 run over 5 innings in his last appearance.
Key Players
- Francisco Alvarez leads the Mets with 4 home runs.
- Bo Bichette leads New York with 9 RBI in his first couple of weeks with the team after joining them from the Toronto Blue Jays.
- The Dodgers’ lineup features stars like Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman driving elite production. Los Angeles has 28 home runs and a .290 team batting average.
Recent Team Streaks
- Mets: 7-9 overall, 0-5 in last 5 games.
- Dodgers: 11-4 overall, won 3 of their last 5.
- The Mets were recently swept and have scored very few runs during their recent skid.
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first meeting between the Dodgers and Mets so far this season.
- The Mets are 7-7-2 in the over/under market this season.
- The over is 8-7 in Dodgers games so far this year.
Mets vs Dodgers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Mets 3 – Dodgers 6
- Win Probability: Mets 42%, Dodgers 58%
The data points strongly toward Los Angeles holding the edge in nearly every category in this game. The Dodgers lineup has been far more productive, posting a .290 batting average compared to the Mets at .236, along with a sizable advantage in total runs and slugging. Facing a pitcher like Peterson, who has struggled with both command and contact, only adds to that edge.
New York’s current offensive issues are hard to ignore. With key injuries and limited run production, the Mets have not shown the ability to consistently threaten opposing pitching. Even if Peterson delivers a better outing, the bullpen and lack of scoring support remain concerns. Expect Los Angeles to build a lead by the middle innings and pull away late. The run line offers better value than the moneyline given the current gap in form and offensive production between these teams.
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