WNBA
Dallas enters with a 16-6 home record and has gone 7-3 over its last 10, while Golden State is 15-7 on the road and also 7-3 over its last 10. Offensively, Dallas scores 89.4 points per game on 46.8% shooting, but Golden State has held opponents to 75.1 points per game and 41.4% shooting. The Valkyries also rate better in defensive efficiency and overall net rating, while Dallas has been slightly better in pace and home scoring, setting up a contrast between Dallas’ offensive volume and Golden State’s stronger defensive control.
Dallas should be able to score enough to keep this competitive, but Golden State’s defensive numbers point to a controlled game and a Dallas output that falls below its season average. The best angle is Dallas team total under 76.5, with a projected final score of Golden State 80, Dallas 74. That projection keeps the game within a modest margin while leaning under Dallas’ scoring expectation against a defense that has consistently limited opponents.
