SERIE A
Across seven Serie A matches, Inter are 6-1-0 and top of the league, while Venezia are 1-0-6 and sit 20th. The expected-goals table tells a cleaner story than the standings alone. Inter have 22.06 xG and 9.64 xGA, which works out to 3.15 xG and 1.38 xGA per match. Venezia sit at 12.41 xG and 17.84 xGA, or 1.77 xG and 2.55 xGA per match, so the defensive gap is the sharpest edge. Shot volume also leans toward Inter. They average 7.3 shots on target per match, compared with Venezia’s 4.3, and that extra volume matches the market’s strong support for an away result. Venezia have scored 6 goals from 12.41 xG, while Inter have scored 21 from 22.06 xG, so neither side is hiding a major finishing anomaly. That profile fits a controlled Inter win more than a back-and-forth scoreline.
Our Venezia vs Inter Milan prediction is Venezia 0-2 Inter Milan. We like Both Teams to Score: No at any entry price of 123 or better, with Inter’s shot volume and Venezia’s weaker defensive profile pointing to a clean away win.
