NFL
Chicago comes in at 2-1 with 89 total points and a +36 point differential, powered by a balanced offense that has produced 223.7 passing yards per game and 184.3 rushing yards per game. The Bears have also been better in yardage efficiency, sitting at 5.9 yards per play, while their turnover profile is positive at +3. New York is 1-2 with 64 points scored, 329.0 yards per game, and 5.0 yards per play, so the Jets have struggled to sustain drives as often as Chicago. Defensively, the Jets have been sharper on efficiency, allowing 4.8 yards per play, which keeps them live, but their lower scoring ceiling makes an upset less appealing than the home side.
Chicago has the better offensive ceiling, the stronger point differential, and the more reliable balance between the run and pass game, which makes the Bears the preferred side. New York’s defense can keep this competitive, but the Jets have not shown enough consistent scoring to justify backing them outright. The projection leans to a Chicago win by one score, with the Bears finishing ahead 24-20 for a 44-point game.
