NFL
Arizona enters with a 2-4 record, 21.0 points per game, 307.3 yards per game, and a negative point differential, while Denver is 4-2 with 19.0 points per game and 252.2 yards per game. Arizona’s pass defense has allowed 229.7 passing yards per game and 29.7 points per game, which is a concern, but Denver’s offense has been limited at 168.0 passing yards per game and 84.2 rushing yards per game. Denver’s defense has been better in scoring terms at 20.8 points allowed per game, yet it has allowed 5.0 yards per play and 139.8 rushing yards per game, leaving room for Arizona to stay competitive without projecting a shootout.
Denver has the cleaner overall profile, but the strongest value is on a lower-scoring game rather than the side. Arizona’s offense has been inconsistent, Denver’s offense has been limited, and both teams have enough defensive competence to keep long scoring runs in check. The projection is Denver 20, Arizona 17, which supports an under position and a final total well below the market number.
