NFL

Buffalo comes in 5-1 with a strong point differential and a road record that has translated well so far, while Baltimore is 4-3 and has dropped two straight. The Bills have been driven by a high-output offense and a better yards-per-play profile, while Baltimore’s offense remains balanced with a strong run game but has not fully offset defensive leakage. Both teams have allowed more than they would like, which is why this sets up as a higher-scoring contest, but Buffalo’s efficiency edge on offense and better turnover profile give it the clearer path to victory.
Buffalo is the better side in this matchup because its offense has been more efficient, its scoring output has been higher, and its turnover profile is cleaner. Baltimore can keep this close with its run game, but the Ravens have been less reliable against the number and have allowed too many points to trust them as the road side. The most likely result is a Bills win by a few points, with enough scoring from both teams to push the game into the high 50s. Final score projection: Buffalo 31, Baltimore 27.