NBA
Boston enters with a 3-1 record, 119.8 points per game, a 46.5% field goal rate, 38.6% from three, and a +32 point differential, while Chicago sits at 1-4, scoring 110.8 per game with a 40.6% field goal rate, 23.8% from three, and a -81 point differential. The Celtics have also allowed just 111.8 points per game, compared with 130.2 for the Bulls, and Boston’s offensive and defensive efficiency numbers are both far stronger. Chicago’s recent form has been dragged down by poor shooting, ball security, and defensive lapses, while Boston’s balance and home form have driven its early success.
Boston should win at home, but the projected margin sits below the biggest home spread in the market, which makes Chicago the more appealing position at the current market price. The Celtics’ offense has been efficient, their defense has been much better than Chicago’s, and the Bulls have struggled badly with shot making and prevention. Even so, the difference in the expected final margin looks closer to the low teens than the mid-teens, so the underdog side has the better value. Projected final score: Boston Celtics 123, Chicago Bulls 110.
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