Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction - November 14, 2026

Matchup Overview

Utah State comes in with a more balanced statistical profile, averaging 326.1 yards and 16.88 points per game while allowing only 21.88 points and 333.88 yards per game. San Diego State has been far more volatile, scoring 26.44 points per game but giving up 34.33 points and 451.0 yards per game. The Aztecs are still generating a solid rushing output at 156.2 yards per game, but that has not offset a defense that has struggled to limit explosive production through the air and on the ground. Utah State’s passing game has been a steady feature at 196.0 yards per game, which gives it a better path to control the game and finish drives efficiently.

Market Trends

• ●San Diego State Aztecs: 3-6-0 against the spread, covering 33.3% of the time; 6-3-0 to the over, with 66.7% overs.
• ●Utah State Aggies: ATS and over/under records were not included in the supplied data.

Prediction Summary

Utah State has the stronger statistical case and the better defensive numbers, which supports a road win in a game that should stay competitive. San Diego State’s offense can move the ball, but its defense has been too leaky to trust against a more efficient opponent. The projected result is Utah State 24, San Diego State 20, giving the Aggies the outright win and a total that stays in the mid-40s.