Tulane Green Wave vs Rice Owls Prediction - November 14, 2026

Prediction

• ●Recommended Position: Under 48.5
• ●Model Win Probability: 58.0%
• ●Market Implied Probability: 54.5%
• ●Model Edge: 3.5%
• ●Entry Threshold: -138
• ●Model Confidence: 64/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: Rice Owls 24, Tulane Green Wave 20
• ●Projected Total: 44.0

Why This Position Stands Out

This total sits in a range where the market is already close to efficient, but the data still leans a little lower than the current consensus. Rice averages 21.0 points per game and Tulane 22.5, which points to a combined scoring profile below the market number. Rice also runs heavily and has only 83.4 passing yards per game, a style that can shorten the game and reduce overall possessions if it is controlling the tempo. Tulane’s offense is more balanced than Rice’s, but its defense has allowed 25.38 points per game and 421.12 yards per game, which supports Rice scoring enough to keep the game competitive without forcing a shootout.

Matchup Overview

Rice enters with a run-heavy offense at 271.5 rushing yards per game, but its passing attack has been limited and its defense has given up 31.75 points per game. Tulane brings a more balanced attack with 203.4 passing yards and 145.5 rushing yards per game, while allowing 25.38 points per game and 421.12 yards per game. Rice’s better scoring defense and Tulane’s ability to move the ball through the air create a game script where both teams can score, but the statistical profile still fits a total that lands below the market number if either offense stalls on a few drives.