San Jose State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons Prediction - November 14, 2026

Matchup Overview

Air Force enters with stronger overall offensive production, posting 29.25 points per game, 400.1 yards per game, and 5.46 yards per play, led by 341.0 rushing yards per game. Its defense has held opponents to 21.5 points and 305.38 yards per game. San Jose State has been much less productive on offense at 19.89 points and 348.3 yards per game, although it does throw for 227.9 yards per game. Defensively, the Spartans have allowed 22.33 points and 375.67 yards per game, which is a difficult combination against an Air Force team that can impose its preferred style. Recent trend data also leans to Air Force on the surface, with a stronger cover record and a much more balanced scoring profile than San Jose State.

Market Trends

• ●Air Force is 5-3 against the spread and 4-4 on totals.
• ●San Jose State is 5-4 against the spread and 1-8 on totals.

Prediction Summary

Air Force should be able to lean on its rushing attack and field-position control to win at home, while San Jose State’s offense looks too inconsistent to keep pace for four quarters. The Spartans can throw the ball well enough to avoid being completely blanked, but their defense has allowed too much yardage and too many sustained drives. The projected final score is Air Force Falcons 31, San Jose State Spartans 17, which supports Air Force on the moneyline and points to a controlled home win.