Oregon State Beavers vs Boise State Broncos Prediction - November 14, 2026

Prediction

• ●Recommended Position: Over 65.5
• ●Model Win Probability: 56.5%
• ●Market Implied Probability: 52.8%
• ●Model Edge: 3.7%
• ●Entry Threshold: -130
• ●Model Confidence: 67/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: Boise State Broncos 35, Oregon State Beavers 31
• ●Projected Total: 66.0

Why This Position Stands Out

This game brings two offenses that have been efficient all season, and both teams have been better at creating scoring chances than stopping them. Boise State is averaging 35.9 points and 449.3 yards per game, while Oregon State is even stronger at 40.1 points and 517.4 yards per game. Each side also owns an over-friendly season profile, with Boise State at 75.0% to the over and Oregon State at 87.5% to the over. That combination supports a game script where possessions turn into points rather than long defensive stands.

Matchup Overview

Boise State enters with strong balance on offense, posting 226.5 passing yards and 222.8 rushing yards per game, while Oregon State is far more pass-heavy at 383.4 passing yards and 134.0 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Boise State has allowed 23.6 points and 360.3 yards per game, while Oregon State has allowed 25.0 points and 351.1 yards per game. The numbers point to a matchup where both offenses should move the ball, and neither defense has shown enough consistency to suppress scoring for four quarters.