Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction - November 14, 2026

Prediction

• ●Recommended Position: Oklahoma Sooners moneyline
• ●Model Win Probability: 54%
• ●Market Implied Probability: 50%
• ●Model Edge: 4%
• ●Entry Threshold: +100
• ●Model Confidence: 72/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: Oklahoma Sooners 27, Ole Miss Rebels 24
• ●Projected Total: 51

Why This Position Stands Out

Oklahoma’s case is built on the defensive side of the ball and on home-field value in a game that the market has treated as close to a coin flip. The Sooners allow 20.75 points per game and 304.62 yards per game, both clearly better than Ole Miss, which gives up 24.0 points and 383.88 yards per game. That defensive edge matters because Ole Miss has been the more explosive offense, but it has also been more vulnerable in stopping opponents and has to travel into a tighter matchup on the road.

Matchup Overview

Ole Miss comes in with the stronger offense, averaging 37.13 points and 439.6 yards per game behind 282.1 passing yards and 157.5 rushing yards per game. Oklahoma’s offense is more modest at 22.0 points and 336.9 yards per game, but it is more balanced and its defense has been far steadier, allowing just 5.13 yards per play and 175.38 passing yards per game. The contrast points to a game where Ole Miss may create more chunk plays, but Oklahoma’s ability to limit overall efficiency and keep the scoring down gives the home side a realistic chance to win outright.