North Dakota State Bison vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction - November 14, 2026

Prediction

• ●Recommended Position: Under 38.5
• ●Model Win Probability: 56.5%
• ●Market Implied Probability: 52.4%
• ●Model Edge: 4.1%
• ●Entry Threshold: -145
• ●Model Confidence: 74/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: North Dakota State Bison 24, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 13
• ●Projected Total: 37.0

Why This Position Stands Out

North Dakota State brings the cleaner defensive profile by a wide margin, allowing just 11.89 points per game and 4.36 yards per play, while Hawaii has been held to 20.75 points per game and has allowed 24.5 points per game on the other side. That combination points to a slower scoring game than the market number suggests, especially if North Dakota State controls field position and forces Hawaii into longer drives that are harder to finish with points.

Matchup Overview

North Dakota State has paired a strong offense with an elite defense, averaging 28.11 points and 351.8 yards per game while allowing only 11.89 points and 248.78 yards per game. Hawaii’s offense has been more pass-heavy at 275.8 passing yards per game, but the overall production has been modest at 20.75 points per game, and the defense has surrendered 368.25 yards and 24.5 points per game. Recent form indicators in the supplied market data lean toward North Dakota State’s side as the sharper team, with the Bison’s season-long profile showing a better ability to limit explosive scoring than Hawaii.