Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames Prediction - November 14, 2026

Matchup Overview

Liberty enters with stronger season-long production on both sides of the ball, generating 411.0 yards per game at 6.54 yards per play while holding opponents to 282.12 yards per game. Middle Tennessee sits at 344.6 yards per game and 5.55 yards per play, with defensive numbers that lag sharply behind Liberty’s standards. The Flames also have the more reliable run game at 212.3 rushing yards per game, while the Blue Raiders average 146.3 on the ground. That gap in both efficiency and defensive resistance gives Liberty the clearer path to a controlled win.

Market Trends

• ●Liberty Flames are 6-2 against the spread and 3-5 to the over.
• ●Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 5-3 against the spread and 4-4 to the over.

Prediction Summary

Liberty should win this game behind the better defense and the more efficient rushing attack, but the strongest position is the under because Middle Tennessee has struggled to score consistently against quality resistance and Liberty has allowed only 13.5 points per game. A projected 31-20 final fits the matchup well, with Liberty dictating the pace and limiting explosive scoring chances while still doing enough offensively to stay in control throughout.