Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks Prediction - November 14, 2026

Prediction

• ●Recommended Position: Over 38.5
• ●Model Win Probability: 56%
• ●Market Implied Probability: 51.2%
• ●Model Edge: 4.8%
• ●Entry Threshold: -110
• ●Model Confidence: 78/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: Oregon Ducks 31, Michigan Wolverines 17
• ●Projected Total: 48

Why This Position Stands Out

Oregon brings the stronger scoring profile by a wide margin, averaging 33.25 points and 425.4 yards per game on offense, while Michigan sits at 21.25 points and 316.4 yards per game. The Ducks also have the more efficient passing attack at 285.0 yards per game, which gives them a clear path to build drives and create scoring chances even if the Wolverines slow the pace early.

Matchup Overview

Oregon enters with the more productive offense and a defense that is good enough to keep Michigan from consistently trading scores. Michigan’s offense has been limited to 21.25 points per game and 5.14 yards per play, while Oregon’s defense has allowed 21.38 points per game and 5.17 yards per play. On the other side, Oregon’s 6.14 yards per play and 33.25 points per game point to an offense capable of carrying this game above a modest total if it finishes drives efficiently.