Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction - November 14, 2026

Matchup Overview

Texas State enters with the better scoring offense, posting 38.13 points per game and 250.8 rushing yards per game, while Fresno State counters with a balanced attack at 28.88 points per game and 210.9 passing yards per game. Texas State’s defense has been more vulnerable overall, allowing 414.38 yards and 32.0 points per game, which opens the door for Fresno State to stay involved. Fresno State has been steadier against the run, but it has allowed 233.5 passing yards per game and 392.5 total yards per game, a concern against a Texas State group that generates 6.79 yards per snap and can score in multiple ways.

Market Trends

• ●Texas State Bobcats are 4-4 against the spread and 6-2 to the over this season.
• ●Fresno State Bulldogs are 6-2 against the spread and 5-3 to the over this season.

Prediction Summary

Texas State has the stronger offense, and Fresno State has enough efficiency to contribute, which points to a game that clears the market total. The Bobcats average 38.13 points per game and 506.6 yards per game, while Fresno State averages 28.88 points and has been competitive enough to pressure a scoreboard climb. Texas State’s defense has also allowed 32.0 points per game, so the Bulldogs should not need perfect efficiency to help push the total upward. Final projection: Texas State Bobcats 41, Fresno State Bulldogs 27.