Yale Bulldogs vs Baylor Bears Prediction - November 10, 2026

Matchup Overview

Baylor enters with a 1-0 record, but its numbers are not dominant. The Bears are scoring 87.0 points per game, shooting 47.7% from the field, and averaging 49.0 rebounds per game, yet their efficiency metrics remain shaky with a 103.2 offensive rating and a 109.7 defensive rating. That profile says Baylor has volume and size, but not the kind of clean execution that usually supports an overwhelming favorite. Yale is also 1-0, and the Bulldogs bring a more balanced efficiency profile. Yale is scoring 72.0 points per game, shooting 35.9% from the field, and putting up a 107.9 offensive rating with a 105.4 defensive rating. The raw shooting percentages are uneven, but Yale’s free throw percentage of 86.4% stands out, and the defense has been better than Baylor’s by the efficiency measures provided. That gives Yale a credible chance to turn this into a tighter game than the market expects.

Market Trends

• ●Baylor Bears are 1-1 against the spread and 0-2 on totals.
• ●Yale Bulldogs are 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 on totals.

Prediction Summary

Yale is the better value side in a game where Baylor is priced like the much stronger team, but the available team data shows a narrower gap. Baylor has the scoring and rebounding edge, yet Yale’s efficiency numbers are cleaner on both ends, and the Bulldogs’ excellent free throw shooting gives them a path to hang around late. The projected final score is Baylor Bears 70, Yale Bulldogs 73, with Yale emerging as the live underdog and the total landing near 143.0.