Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction - November 5, 2026

Matchup Overview

Vanderbilt enters with the sharper statistical profile. The Commodores are ranked 12th in KenPom with a 119.9 offensive rating and a 93.8 defensive rating, while Wake Forest is ranked 80th with a 110.8 offensive rating and a 99.5 defensive rating. That gap suggests Vanderbilt should control shot quality and efficiency over the full game, especially if the home team can play to its offensive ceiling. Wake Forest still has enough quality markers to avoid being priced as a total afterthought. In the available TeamRankings game data, Wake Forest has one game in the books, a home win over American, while Vanderbilt also opened with a home win over Lipscomb. Vanderbilt's earlier start to the season already shows a stronger baseline in power ratings, but Wake Forest's profile is not weak enough to fully justify the market's extreme favorite treatment on the other side. That is why the underdog moneyline is the only position with a meaningful margin against the market-implied price.

Market Trends

• ●Vanderbilt Commodores are 1-0 against the spread and 0-1 to the over/under.
• ●Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 1-0 against the spread and 0-1 to the over/under.

Prediction Summary

Vanderbilt has the stronger team profile, but the market is asking too much of its side for this matchup, which leaves a small value window on Wake Forest to win outright. The projected finish is Vanderbilt Commodores 74, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 76, with Wake Forest landing just enough scoring efficiency to pull the upset in a tighter game than the favorite price suggests.