Virginia Cavaliers vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction - November 13, 2026

Matchup Overview

Virginia has opened the season 4-0 and has paired high-end scoring with strong defensive work, which is a difficult combination for Maryland to match right now. The Cavaliers are shooting 49.6% from the field and 36.2% from three, while also holding opponents to 66.3 points per game. That is the kind of balance that usually travels well in a matchup like this. Maryland is 1-2 and has been much less efficient offensively, especially from deep. The Terrapins are at 44.4% from the field, 20.8% from three, and 72.7% at the line, while the defense has already allowed 76.5 points per game. The scoring gap, combined with Virginia’s stronger possession-to-possession profile, is the main reason the Cavaliers project as the side with the better win equity.

Market Trends

• ●Maryland Terrapins: 0-1 against the spread and 1-0 on totals.
• ●Virginia Cavaliers: 1-3 against the spread and 4-0 on totals.

Prediction Summary

Virginia should be the more reliable side in this matchup, with the Cavaliers’ superior efficiency, stronger defense, and better early-season form carrying the day. Maryland’s home court helps, but the Terrapins have not produced enough shooting consistency or defensive resistance to offset Virginia’s edge. The projection is Virginia 79, Maryland 73, with the Cavaliers winning outright in a game that lands near the total range.