SE Missouri St Redhawks vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Prediction - November 13, 2026

Matchup Overview

Middle Tennessee enters at 2-1 with 78.3 points per game, 43.7% shooting, 33.3% from three, and 76.7 points allowed per game. Its KenPom offensive rating is 103.2 and defensive rating is 106.9, showing a team that has not been dominant but has been competitive enough to justify home-floor support. SE Missouri State also sits at 2-1, and its early box-score profile is stronger on offense: 81.3 points per game, 47.7% field-goal shooting, 40.0% from deep, and 74.0 points allowed per game. Even so, its KenPom offensive rating is lower at 98.7, and its ranking profile is weaker overall. That combination suggests the Redhawks have shot it well in a small sample, but Middle Tennessee has the more stable long-term profile entering this game.

Market Trends

• ●Middle Tennessee ATS trends and over/under trends were not available in the loaded trend table.
• ●SE Missouri State ATS trends and over/under trends were not available in the loaded trend table.

Prediction Summary

Middle Tennessee is the preferred side in what projects as a fairly controlled home win, with the Blue Raiders likely grinding out a competitive result behind the better overall efficiency profile and home-court edge. SE Missouri State has shown better early shooting, but Middle Tennessee’s defensive numbers and stronger adjusted profile point to a narrow victory, with a projected final score of 78-72.