COLLEGE BASKETBALL

George Washington enters with a 3-0 start and stronger all-around numbers than Harvard, which is 2-1. GW’s offense has been efficient at 46.7% from the field and 40.9% from three, while its defense has held opponents to 50.0 points per game. That combination gives the Revolutionaries a profile that can win with both shot-making and stops. Harvard has been solid early, but its offensive indicators lag behind. The Crimson are scoring 68.7 points per game, shooting 44.4% overall and 29.3% from three, while allowing 55.4 points per game. In a matchup where both teams have only three games of data, the stronger signal is GW’s ability to create a more efficient scoring margin and protect the glass better at 42.0 rebounds per game versus Harvard’s 38.7.
George Washington should be the more reliable side at home, with a projected 78-64 win that reflects its stronger efficiency, better scoring defense, and more balanced offensive profile. Harvard has kept games respectable early, but GW’s shooting, rebounding, and defensive numbers point to the Revolutionaries having the higher ceiling and the safer moneyline position in this matchup.