COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Washington comes in at 16-17 overall, with a 77.1 points-per-game offense, 45.8 field goal percentage, 31.5 three-point percentage, and 76.4 free throw percentage. The Huskies also allow 73.6 points per game and rebound at a 37.2 clip, which gives them a more complete statistical base than their record may suggest. Their home split and overall efficiency numbers are the main reasons they remain the side with value in this matchup. Colgate is 18-15 overall and scores 75.5 points per game with a 48.5 field goal percentage, 35.9 three-point percentage, and 74.9 free throw percentage. The Raiders have been respectable offensively, but their 73.4 points allowed per game and 113.7 adjusted defensive rating point to a defense that can be attacked. Colgate’s road record is also a concern against a stronger home team, especially against a Washington squad that is better on both ends of the floor by the advanced numbers.
Washington’s superior efficiency, stronger defensive profile, and home-court edge make the Huskies the projected winner. Colgate has enough offense to keep the game competitive for stretches, but Washington’s broader statistical advantage and better home form should carry the day. The projected final score is Washington Huskies 82, Colgate Raiders 71.
