The Kansas Jayhawks and Texas Tech Red Raiders will do battle in the Big 12 on Saturday. Texas Tech is a top 10 team in the country and will try to stay undefeated with a win here. Can the Red Raiders get the job done as a two-touchdown favorite? Continue reading to get my Kansas vs Texas Tech prediction for this weekend.
Our Kansas vs Texas Tech Pick
- Pick: Over 59.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Kansas Jayhawks vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025, 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
- Broadcast: FOX
Kansas vs Texas Tech Odds
Betting Market | Odds |
|---|
Spread | Texas Tech -14.5 |
Moneyline | Texas Tech -700, Kansas +450 |
Total | 59.5 |
Key Storylines
- Texas Tech's Dominant Defense: The Red Raiders have a top-10 defense, allowing just 11.2 points per game, and are coming off a convincing 35-11 victory over a previously unbeaten Houston team.
- Kansas' High-Powered Offense: Quarterback Jalon Daniels leads an offense averaging 35 points per game, ranking 13th nationally with 1,497 passing yards.
- Top 10 Texas Tech: Texas Tech comes into this game ranked ninth in the country. They are playing at a high level and the Big 12 is winnable enough that they could very well go undefeated into the College Football Playoff. But they have to sustain their current level of play for that to happen, including in this matchup.
Quarterback Play
- Jalon Daniels (Kansas): Daniels has thrown for 1,497 yards this season with 16 touchdowns and two interceptions. He is known for making explosive plays, but this will be the toughest test that he's faced this season against the red-hot Red Raiders.
- Behren Morton (Texas Tech): Behren Morton has also been very good in the Big 12 this season. He has thrown for 1,410 yards with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions on the year. Morton will try to stay in a rhythm at home to keep his team undefeated.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Texas Tech's ATS Record: The Red Raiders are 5-0 against the spread this season.
- Kansas' Road Performance: Kansas has struggled on the road, with a 1-2 record away from home this season.
- Head-to-Head: Texas Tech leads the all-time series 23-2 over Kansas and they have won the last four meetings between these programs.
Kansas vs Texas Tech Model Projection
Score Projection: Texas Tech 38 – Kansas 24
Win Probability: Texas Tech 85%, Kansas 15%
Final Thoughts
Texas Tech should win this game pretty comfortably at home to stay undefeated on the season. But instead of laying the points with the Red Raiders, I think that the over is a better wager in this contest. The Red Raiders and Jayhawks both have potent passing attacks and they should be able to move the ball consistently through the air in what will be a highly entertaining contest in Lubbock.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
Affiliate Disclosure
ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
