The Texas Longhorns and Arkansas Razorbacks will renew their rivalry this Saturday in an important matchup in the SEC. Texas (7–3) will host Arkansas (2–8) at Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, aiming to bounce back from a 35–10 loss to Georgia. Here, I break down this matchup in the SEC and you can find my Arkansas vs Texas prediction below.
Our Arkansas vs Texas Pick
- Pick: Texas Longhorns –8.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Arkansas Razorbacks @ Texas Longhorns
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 22, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
- Broadcast: ABC
Key Storylines
Texas needs a strong finish to their season. After a crushing loss to Georgia, the Longhorns not only want to rebound but also must set the tone for their season finale against an undefeated Texas A&M team. Their playoff window is more or less closed, but there is still bowl positioning to play for and Texas will try to finish strong to get the best bowl situation possible.
Arkansas is limping through a difficult campaign. The Razorbacks fired Sam Pittman midseason and brought back Bobby Petrino as interim head coach. Things have gone poorly for Petrino as well, with the Razorbacks going 0-6 in conference play so far. They will try to pull off a sizable upset on the road in this game to help them end their season on a high note.
Quarterback Play
Arch Manning remains the focal point of the Texas offense. He’s thrown for 2,374 yards this season, with 19 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Manning has improved as this season has gone on, but still has room to get better as he gains experience. He is also capable of making plays with his legs when called upon.
Arkansas’ Taylen Green has thrown for 2,537 yards and 19 touchdowns, but his 10 interceptions point to a boom-or-bust play style. His dual-threat ability helps Arkansas generate chunk plays, but turnovers remain a real liability for him and his team.
Betting Trends
- Texas is 2-7-1 against the spread going into this matchup.
- Arkansas is 4–6 against the spread this season despite winning just twice straight up this year.
- Arkansas games have gone over the total 7 times in 10 games.
- The Longhorns have gone over the total in 6 of their first 10 games.
Arkansas vs Texas Model Projection
Score Projection: Texas 34 – Arkansas 20
Win Probability: Texas 75%, Arkansas 25%
Final Thoughts
This game feels like a setup for Texas to reassert control after a poor performance against Georgia. The Longhorns’ defense has been strong, and should have another good game given Arkansas’ turnover issues and coaching turmoil. It’s hard to see the Razorbacks doing enough to keep this within single digits. I will lay the points with the Longhorns in this matchup from Austin.
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