Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders Pick - 2/16/2026

The Southland Conference will see a huge game take place on Monday, as the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (23-3, 16-1 Southland) travel to take on the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (14-12, 10-7 Southland). The Lumberjacks come into this contest with 11 wins in a row and they will try to get a win here against a Texas A&M-CC team that is desperate to stay in the top four in the Southland standings. Before tip-off from Texas, continue reading to get my Stephen F. Austin vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi prediction.

Our Stephen F. Austin vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Pick

Pick: Stephen F. Austin -6.5 ATS PRO

Confidence: 4 out of 5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
• Date & Time: Monday, February 16, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: American Bank Center, Corpus Christi, Texas
• Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Players

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi

• Sheldon Williams: Leading scorer and rebounder for the Islanders, averaging 11.8 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. His inside presence anchors the Islander offense and helps with second-chance opportunities.
• Nick Shogbonyo: Provides perimeter threat and scoring, capable of single-handedly keeping Corpus Christi competitive in conference games. He has delivered strong scoring performances in past Southland contests.
• D'Avian Houston: Leads the team in assists and facilitates much of the Islanders’ offense. Without consistent ball movement, the Islander attack struggles to generate quality shots.

Stephen F. Austin

• Keon Thompson: The premier offensive threat for SFA, averaging 18.4 points per game and leading the team in assists as well. His ability to score and create for others will be crucial.
• Jerald Colonel: A strong rebounder with around 7-plus rebounds per game and the ability to be a defensive anchor. His presence on the glass gives SFA extra possessions and limits second-chance opportunities for opponents.
• Lateef Patrick: Adds scoring balance for the Lumberjacks and has been effective in shooting free throws and attacking the rim. His contributions stabilize SFA’s offense when Thompson is defended tightly.

Stat Comparison

Statistically, Stephen F. Austin holds an edge in offensive output with about four more points per game than the Islanders and boasts a stronger free-throw shooting percentage that should help in a close game. Defensively, both teams are comparable in points allowed, but SFA’s efficiency on offense and ability to share the ball more effectively should lead to higher-quality scoring opportunities.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

The two teams met earlier this season with Stephen F. Austin earning a 69-60 victory, showcasing the Lumberjacks’ ability to control tempo and take advantage of key offensive possessions. Against the spread this season, Stephen F. Austin has been strong with 19 wins in 24 opportunities, leading the nation in ATS win percentage. Texas A&M-CC is 11-11 against the spread going into this matchup.

Stephen F. Austin vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Model Projection

Score Projection: Stephen F. Austin 79 – Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 69 ATS PRO

Win Probability: Stephen F. Austin 68%, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 32% ATS PRO

Final Thoughts

I'm going to take Stephen F. Austin to win and cover the spread as a favorite on the road here. The Lumberjacks are one of the hottest teams in all of college basketball right now and they are playing better than they have since the Thomas Walkup era of the program. I'll back the Jacks to get a 12th straight win and to remain convincingly ahead of the pack in the Southland.

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