The Oregon Ducks (3-0) host their in-state rival, the Oregon State Beavers (3-0), on Monday night in Eugene. Both teams enter undefeated, but the betting markets for this game heavily favor the Ducks. Can Oregon protect its home floor again, or will the Beavers pull off the upset over their rivals? Before tip-off, you can find my Oregon State vs Oregon prediction below.
Our Oregon State vs Oregon Pick
Pick: Under 140.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Oregon State Beavers @ Oregon Ducks
- Date & Time: Monday, November 17, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, Oregon
- Broadcast: FS1
Key Storylines
- Early-season records: Both teams have started 3-0 against teams from smaller conferences. We saw them each pass a couple of decent tests against smaller programs, but this will be the biggest test for both teams thus far.
- Beavers’ balance and comeback grit: Oregon State pulled off a comeback win against North Texas, erasing a double-digit deficit late. They will need every bit of that toughness to hang around against Oregon in this contest.
- Ducks’ stars: Nate Bittle continues to be a two-way force for Oregon. He is averaging 17.0 PPG and 10.7 RPG early in the 2025–26 season. Jackson Shelstad is the top perimeter creator for the Ducks and scored 22 points against South Dakota State in Oregon’s last game.
- Rivalry history: This marks the 366th meeting between the programs, the most often-contested rivalry in college basketball. Oregon State has 192 all-time wins against Oregon in this rivalry.
- Motivation factor: For Oregon State, an upset would provide them with major momentum going into the rest of their non-conference schedule. For Oregon, a dominant home win would reinforce expectations, especially given how lopsided the spread is.
Betting Trends
- Both of these teams are 0-3 against the spread so far this season.
- Both teams have gone under the total in two of their first three games.
- This is the first road game of the season for Oregon State.
- Oregon is 3-0 at home so far this year.
Oregon State vs Oregon Model Projection
Score Projection: Oregon 76 – Oregon State 62
Win Probability: Oregon 88%, Oregon State 12%
Final Thoughts
My best bet for this rivalry game is for the under to hit at 140.5 points. Oregon State is going to do everything it can to slow this game down and I think that will help to keep the total low. Both teams have failed to reach 70 points in two of their first three games and I think we’ll get another low-scoring matchup for them here.
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