The Minnesota Lynx head to Chicago on Friday night looking to keep their strong early-season form rolling against a Sky team trying to stop a three-game slide. Minnesota has already beaten Chicago once in the last week, with these teams splitting their first two meetings of the season. Minnesota is favored on the road here, and you can find my Lynx vs Sky prediction for this contest below.
Our Lynx vs Sky Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Lynx -4.5
- Confidence: 4 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx @ Chicago Sky
- Date & Time: Friday, May 29, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois
- Broadcast: ION
Key Storylines
Minnesota enters the game at 5-2 and has won three straight contests, including a 96-81 victory over Atlanta in its most recent outing. The Lynx have scored at least 85 points in four of their last five games and continue to get balanced production throughout the rotation. Natasha Howard has been one of the biggest reasons for the fast start after arriving in free agency, while Courtney Williams and Kayla McBride continue to provide veteran scoring and playmaking.
Chicago has dropped three straight games and is coming off a rough 111-104 home loss to Toronto. The Sky can still score, but their defense has struggled badly during this recent skid. Chicago has allowed at least 85 points in four consecutive games, and the absence of Rickea Jackson due to a season-ending ACL injury has hurt their roster on both ends of the floor. Jackson had averaged 18.0 points per game before going down, leaving Skylar Diggins with even more offensive responsibility.
Key Players
Chicago Sky
- Skylar Diggins continues to lead the Chicago offense with her scoring and passing. She is averaging more than 14 points per game and remains one of the league’s best guards in transition. Her ability to create offense late in possessions is critical for the Sky.
- Kamilla Cardoso gives Chicago interior size and rebounding. She has consistently produced on the glass while anchoring the paint defensively.
- Natasha Cloud adds veteran leadership and defensive tenacity in the backcourt. She also contributes as a facilitator and helps push the pace offensively.
Minnesota Lynx
- Natasha Howard has been outstanding early in the season. The veteran forward recently posted 26 points, 14 rebounds, and 5 assists against Chicago and is averaging 17.7 points and 8.3 rebounds this season.
- Courtney Williams remains one of Minnesota’s most reliable all-around guards. She contributes scoring, rebounding, and ball movement while consistently handling major minutes.
- Kayla McBride stretches defenses with perimeter shooting and timely scoring. Her ability to create spacing opens driving lanes for the rest of the offense.
- Olivia Miles has added another dimension to the Lynx attack with strong passing and transition play. She has quickly become a major contributor in the backcourt.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Minnesota and Chicago have split two meetings this season.
- The road team is 2-0 in games between these teams so far this year.
- Minnesota is 3-0 on the road this season.
- Chicago is 0-3 at home early in the 2026 season.
- The Sky are 3-4 against the spread this season.
- The Lynx are 6-1 against the spread this season.
Lynx vs Sky Model Projection
- Score Projection: Minnesota Lynx 88 – Chicago Sky 80
- Win Probability: Minnesota Lynx 66%, Chicago Sky 34%
Minnesota enters this game in better overall form and looks deeper offensively right now. The Lynx are moving the ball well, shooting efficiently, and getting production from several players instead of relying on one scorer. Howard’s strong start has helped stabilize the frontcourt, and the backcourt combination of Williams, McBride, and Miles has consistently created open looks. My best bet for this matchup is for the Lynx to cover the spread as a favorite on the road.
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