Newcastle United vs Everton Match Prediction & Preview - 2/28/2026
Updated February 26, 2026
Updated February 26, 2026
With Premier League action continuing onto the final weekend of February, this Saturday’s fixture between Newcastle United and Everton at St. James’ Park is an interesting one in the middle of the table. Newcastle arrive buoyed by recent returns to their lineup, while Everton are looking to bounce back from back-to-back league defeats. Here, I analyze this matchup in England's top flight and make my Newcastle vs Everton prediction in the betting markets.
Pick: Newcastle to Win
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Newcastle have endured a disappointing Premier League campaign, currently placed 11th and having lost four of their last five league games. Their goal output has been decent, including in a convincing 4-1 away win over Everton in their most recent head-to-head matchup. However, defensive frailties have emerged at times this season as they enter this game having failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 straight outings.
Fixture congestion has certainly played a role in Newcastle's struggles in the league. They breezed into the last 16 of the Champions League by hanging nine goals on Qarabag over two legs in the playoff round, and they made a deep run in the League Cup before being cut down by Manchester City. But their schedule isn't getting much lighter just yet and the Magpies will need to find a way to limit their opponents on the scoresheet to climb the table.
Everton sit a few spots above Newcastle in the standings but have lost their last two Premier League games, most recently going down 1-0 to Manchester United following a defensive display that was heavily scrutinized. Everton looks safe in terms of staying in the Premier League for another year, which is no small feat given their flirtations with relegation in recent seasons. Now the question is whether they can find a higher gear in the final 11 games of the season to stay in the top half of the Prem.
Betting the over and for both teams to score in Newcastle matches has been a profitable angle over the last couple of months, whether it be in the Premier League, Champions League, or domestic cup play. I'm going to go a different direction here and just bet on Newcastle to get the win here, as their attack tore through the Everton defense in their first meeting this season and we should see a similar result at St. James' Park on Saturday.
Score Projection: Newcastle 2 – Everton 1
Win Probability: Newcastle 53%, Everton 23%
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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