Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos

Nov 3, 2024

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens
  • Overview
  • Props

Zay Flowers Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Zay Flowers projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans on Dec 25, 2024

Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 5.5 over: 120
  • Receptions 5.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In this game, Zay Flowers is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.9 targets.

Zay Flowers's 59.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 52.2.

Zay Flowers ranks as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an outstanding 4.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 50.8% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 26.56 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week.

Zay Flowers's 67.8% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 75.1% rate.

This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has allowed a measly 58.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

Projection For Zay Flowers Receptions Prop Bet

Zay Flowers is projected to have 4.8 Receptions in this weeks game.


Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 56.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 56.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In this game, Zay Flowers is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.9 targets.

After averaging 57.0 air yards per game last year, Zay Flowers has seen a big uptick this year, now boasting 72.0 per game.

Zay Flowers's 59.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 52.2.

Zay Flowers's 65.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a substantial progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 52.0 rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 50.8% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 26.56 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week.

Zay Flowers's 67.8% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 75.1% rate.

This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has allowed a measly 58.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

Projection For Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Zay Flowers is projected to have 65.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+700
-
+850
Consensus
-241
+172
-225
+171
Consensus
-
+600
-
+550
Consensus
-
+450
-
+430
Consensus
-
+800
-
+900
Consensus
-
+900
-
+800
Consensus
-
+400
-
+320
-
+850
-
+750
-
+155
-
+160
-
+600
-
+600
-
+390
-
+410
-
+850
-
+900
-
+850
-
+850
-
+370
-
+370
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
6
5
6
5
6
5
6
Consensus
-118
-
-101
-
-113
-
-109
-
-119
-
-103
-
-131
-
-104
-
-130
-
-110
-
-120
-
+110
-
-120
-
-108
-
-120
-
-120
-
-110
-
+105
-
-130
-
-115
-
-120
+145
-115
-190
-120
+150
-110
-190
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+340
+340
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
51
54
52
55
53
50
49
56
10
51
50
53
49
54
52
56
55
10
51
54
52
55
53
50
49
56
10
51
50
53
49
54
52
56
55
Consensus
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-116
-113
-114
-111
-116
-117
-119
-
-
-112
-114
-117
-113
-116
-121
-
-117
-
-114
-111
-115
-111
-112
-123
-118
-
-
-113
-114
-114
-115
-119
-116
-
-117
-
-115
-111
-115
-111
-111
-125
-115
-
-
-119
-109
-123
-111
-123
-123
-
-123
-
-125
-111
-119
-111
-111
-125
-115
-
-
-109
-119
-123
-119
-123
-115
-
-123
-
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-120
-125
-
-
-110
-110
-120
-105
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-110
-115
-
-
-110
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-110
-120
-115
-
-110
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-120
-120
-110
-110
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-120
-120
-115
-110
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
54
56
52
55
57
53
58
59
53
55
52
58
57
56
54
59
54
56
52
55
57
53
58
59
53
55
52
58
57
56
54
59
Consensus
-113
-115
-115
-120
-117
-115
-117
-
-120
-113
-117
-115
-118
-115
-117
-
-120
-117
-118
-115
-115
-113
-117
-
-117
-118
-117
-115
-115
-117
-115
-
-115
-119
-115
-119
-119
-115
-119
-
-119
-115
-119
-115
-115
-115
-119
-
-119
-115
-115
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-115
-119
-115
-115
-119
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-120
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-110
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-140
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
20
21
22
21
20
22
20
21
22
21
20
22
Consensus
-
-121
-107
-113
-
-118
-
-122
-112
-113
-
-114
-
-123
-119
-111
-
-123
-
-119
-108
-115
-
-115
-113
-106
-
-122
-118
-
-110
-106
-
-122
-118
-
-
-120
-110
-110
-
-120
-
-125
-105
-110
-
-120
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1112
+1090
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+6966
+6966