Zay Flowers projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers on Nov 17, 2024
Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -130
- Receptions 4.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects Zay Flowers to garner 6.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
With an extraordinary 26.2% Target Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.
With an impressive 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.
Zay Flowers is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an exceptional 72.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile among wideouts.
The Pittsburgh cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This week's line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Ravens.
This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up a mere 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.
Projection For Zay Flowers Receptions Prop Bet
Zay Flowers is projected to have 4.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 58.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 58.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects Zay Flowers to garner 6.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
With an extraordinary 26.2% Target Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.
Zay Flowers has compiled far more air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).
Zay Flowers's 67.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a significant improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 52.0 rate.
This year, the deficient Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a whopping 8.77 yards.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Ravens.
Projection For Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Zay Flowers is projected to have 56.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
