New England Patriots

New England Patriots

Nov 3, 2024

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans
  • Overview
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Rhamondre Stevenson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Rhamondre Stevenson projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills on Dec 22, 2024

Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 13.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 13.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Patriots are a heavy 14-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (35.1 per game) this year.

With an exceptional 50.0% Route% (84th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson stands among the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in football.

Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 3.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.

Rhamondre Stevenson's 85.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a material boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 80.9% rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Patriots have been the 9th-least pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.6% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

When it comes to air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in just the 12th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -3.0 per game.

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Rhamondre Stevenson's 13.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a noteable decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 20.0 figure.

Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 15.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 45.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 45.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

In this contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.4 carries.

Among all running backs, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 60.8% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

With a terrific tally of 56.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (77th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson places among the top pure runners in football this year.

The Bills defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Patriots are a heavy 14-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots as the 11th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Rhamondre Stevenson's running effectiveness (3.80 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (17th percentile when it comes to RBs).

Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 57.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Longest Rush
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
14
15
15
14
14
15
15
14
Consensus
-125
-110
-118
-105
-125
-105
-120
-105
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-
-105
-115
-
-
-105
-115
-
-125
-110
-125
-105
-130
-110
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-
+850
-
+750
Consensus
-
+350
-
+400
Consensus
-
+750
-
+800
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-192
+147
-202
+144
Consensus
-
+350
-
+320
-
+550
-
+550
-
+900
-
+750
-
+400
-
+390
-
+800
-
+800
-
+500
-
+550
-
+160
-
+170
-
+380
-
+340
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
3
3
3
Consensus
-121
-108
-119
-109
-123
-111
-123
-111
-115
-110
-120
-110
-125
-110
-125
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
75
76
74
73
77
75
76
73
74
77
75
76
74
73
77
75
76
73
74
77
Consensus
-116
-116
-
-
-
-117
-116
-
-
-
-114
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-113
-114
-115
-114
-
-115
-113
-114
-114
-
-115
-115
-114
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-120
-115
-120
-120
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
15
16
15
17
16
17
15
16
15
17
Consensus
-115
-
-
-113
-
-
-118
-
-
-114
-
-
-109
-
-
-125
-
-
-119
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-105
-
-120
-
-125
-110
-105
-
-120
-
-125
-
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-113
-
-115
-110
-
-110
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-110
-
-120
-110
-
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
15
15
15
Consensus
-120
-107
-119
-107
-125
+100
-120
-110
-122
-106
-114
-114
-130
-105
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3433
+4766
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+910
+775
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
11
11
10
10
11
11
10
Consensus
-127
-101
-131
-106
-123
-104
-125
-107
-127
-106
-125
-113
-129
-106
-129
-108
-120
-105
-125
-105
-125
-105
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
56
54
55
53
57
51
13
12
14
56
55
57
54
51
53
12
13
14
56
54
55
53
57
51
13
12
14
56
55
57
54
51
53
12
13
14
Consensus
-115
-115
-116
-114
-112
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-117
-117
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-115
-112
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-117
-116
-120
-117
-
-115
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-122
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-120
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-115
-115
-127
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-119
-108
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-
-127
-115
-127
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-108
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-118
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-122
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-115
-115
-110
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-