Hunter Henry Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Hunter Henry projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills on Dec 22, 2024

Hunter Henry Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 44.5 over: -100
• Receiving Yards 44.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Patriots are a heavy 14-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (35.1 per game) this year.

Hunter Henry has been less involved as a potential target this year (81.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (71.6%).

The model projects Hunter Henry to notch 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.

Hunter Henry's 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 33.0 rate.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Patriots have been the 9th-least pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.6% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Bills pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.9%) vs. tight ends this year (71.9%).

This year, the tough Bills defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a puny 6.5 yards.

Projection For Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Hunter Henry is projected to have 46.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.