The Denver Nuggets (12–4) head into Monday night’s road game against the Memphis Grizzlies (6–11) looking to continue their strong early-season momentum. But around Nikola Jokić and his MVP-caliber production, Denver faces a sudden depth crisis. Both Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun are sidelined, leaving the Nuggets shorthanded on the wings. Can they overcome that to defeat the struggling Grizzlies? Continue reading for my Nuggets vs Grizzlies prediction for Monday.
Our Nuggets vs Grizzlies Pick
- Pick: Grizzlies +7.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies
- Date & Time: Monday, November 24, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- Nuggets’ depth hit hard by injuries. Aaron Gordon has been ruled out for at least 4–6 weeks with a Grade 2 right hamstring strain, creating a major scoring and defensive void. He’s been averaging 18.8 points per game. Denver is also without Christian Braun, who sprained his left ankle and won’t be re‑evaluated for about six weeks. These absences force Denver to lean more on younger rotation players like Peyton Watson and Spencer Jones.
- Jokić should carry a heavier burden. With Gordon and Braun out, Nikola Jokić’s usage and playmaking role will likely increase even more than usual. He’s the engine of this team, and Denver will need him to be dominant offensively.
- Memphis also banged up. The Grizzlies are without their top star in Ja Morant going into this game. Jaren Jackson Jr. is also questionable to compete in that game and the Grizzlies could certainly use him to help slow down Jokic.
- Memphis in search of consistency. The Grizzlies have struggled to string together wins early in the season. But they could take advantage of Denver’s depleted rotation to pull off a home upset. Memphis has won two games in a row, taking advantage of their opportunities against the struggling Mavericks and Kings. They will try to pass an important test in this contest.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first of four regular-season games scheduled between the Nuggets and Grizzlies this season.
- The Nuggets are 10-6 against the spread for the season.
- Memphis is 6-11 against the spread entering this matchup.
- The under has cashed in 12 of Memphis' first 17 games.
- The Nuggets are 9-7 to the over going into this contest.
Best Player Props to Watch
Player | Prop |
|---|
Nikola Jokić | Triple-double |
Cedric Coward | Over 2.5 Assists |
Nuggets vs Grizzlies Model Projection
Score Projection: Nuggets 120 – Grizzlies 115
Win Probability: Nuggets 74%, Grizzlies 26%
Final Thoughts
It may come back to bite me, but I'm taking the points with the Grizzlies in this game. The Grizzlies are banged up right now, but the Nuggets are as well. Denver should have enough in the tank to win this game outright, but I think this contest will be decided by just a couple of possessions and the Grizzlies will cover the number.
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