WNBA

Atlanta comes in on a five-game winning streak and has gone 9-1 over its last 10, while Washington has won four straight and is 8-2 in its last 10. The Dream have been the more explosive offense at 91.3 points per game, but the Mystics have been steadier defensively and allow 82.7 points per game. Atlanta's balanced attack and strong home form make it dangerous, yet Washington's slower pace, lower turnover rate on the defensive side, and ability to contest shots give the visitors a path to keep this game from turning into a track meet.
Atlanta should still control the game, but Washington's defense and slower pace make the Dream team total less attractive than the full-game side. A projected score of Atlanta Dream 84, Washington Mystics 79 points to a lower-scoring game than Atlanta usually produces, with the Dream winning but landing below their expected scoring range. That keeps the Atlanta under 85.5 as the best value angle on the board.