WNBA

Las Vegas comes in with a 6-4 record over its last 10 and a four-game winning streak, powered by 91.2 points per game, 48.4% shooting, 22.0 assists, and a defensive profile that holds opponents to 86.3 points per game. Seattle has dropped three straight and is just 2-8 in its last 10, scoring 82.1 points per game on 42.5% shooting while allowing 88.4 points per game. The contrast is especially sharp on the road, where the Storm are 2-19, and in turnover control, where Seattle’s 18.1 turnovers per game create extra empty trips that favor the home defense.
Las Vegas should win this game comfortably, but the stronger betting angle is the under because Seattle’s offense has been too inconsistent to support a high total against a disciplined home team. The Aces are the better shooting team, the better passing team, and the better defensive team in this matchup, while Seattle’s road record and recent form point to limited scoring upside. Projected final score: Las Vegas Aces 90, Seattle Storm 81.