WNBA

Atlanta enters with a 30-14 record, a 9-1 mark over its last 10, and a five-game win streak, backed by 91.3 points per game and a 103.5 defensive rating. New York sits at 26-18 with a 6-4 run over its last 10 and has lost two straight, while averaging 89.6 points per game with a 106.9 defensive rating. Atlanta has been the steadier team on both ends, while New York’s offense has leaned on shot-making but has not consistently offset its weaker defensive profile.
Atlanta should control enough of the game at home to earn the win, with the stronger recent form, better net rating, and cleaner defensive numbers carrying the edge. New York has the shot-making to stay within reach, but the Dream’s current run and overall balance point to a home victory. Projected final score: Atlanta Dream 89, New York Liberty 84.