WNBA
Minnesota comes in with the better recent form and the superior season-long numbers in nearly every key area. The Lynx are scoring 91.0 points per game, shoot 48.2% from the field, and have a strong offensive rating of 112.5 while also posting a defensive rating of 103.7. Connecticut, by contrast, is at 78.5 points per game with a 42.2% field goal rate and a much weaker offensive rating of 97.4. The Sun have also allowed 88.1 points per game, which is a major concern against a Minnesota team that can score efficiently from both inside and outside.
Minnesota should control this game from start to finish, and the cleanest betting angle is the under on the total. The Lynx have the better offense, the better defense, and the stronger efficiency profile, while Connecticut has had trouble scoring consistently and has given up too many points. A projected final score of Minnesota 84, Connecticut 78 fits the matchup and supports the under 167.5.
