WNBA

Atlanta enters with a 9-1 stretch over its last 10 and a five-game winning streak, backed by 91.3 points per game, 40.8 percent shooting, and 89.2 percent at the line. The Dream also force opponents into 84.5 points per game and pair that with a 103.5 defensive rating, which fits a team that can control both ends at home. Golden State has been strong too, sitting at 7-3 over its last 10 with a 17-5 home mark, but its 82.2 points per game and 108.2 offensive rating show a lower-scoring profile. The Valkyries' defense is excellent at 99.1, so they can keep this competitive, but Atlanta’s scoring edge and steadier recent form make the home side the stronger call.
Atlanta should edge this game at home, with the Dream projected to win 80-75. Golden State’s defense should keep the pace controlled, but Atlanta’s stronger scoring output, better offensive rating, and recent winning form give the home team the slight advantage. The projected total lands near 155, which points to a competitive game without needing a blowout to cash the Atlanta side.