WNBA

Washington enters in better overall form, winning 27 of 43 and going 8-2 over its last 10, while Chicago has dropped 27 of 43 and is 4-6 in its last 10. The Mystics score 83.6 points per game and allow 82.5, while the Sky score 86.6 and allow 90.4. Washington’s edge starts with defense, but it also owns the stronger rebound profile and a better assist-to-turnover shape. Chicago’s offense is slightly more efficient from the field, yet its road record and defensive leakage make it harder to trust in a faster, higher-scoring script.
Washington should control this game with defense, rebounding, and home-court advantage, while Chicago’s road form remains a concern. The best read is a lower-scoring game than the market is pricing, with the Mystics still doing enough offensively to separate late. Projected final score: Washington Mystics 85, Chicago Sky 81, which supports the under and a comfortable Washington win.