WNBA
Atlanta comes in with a 28-14 record, an 8-2 run over its last ten, and a three-game winning streak. The Dream are scoring 91.5 points per game and pairing that with a 111.8 offensive rating, while their defense has held opponents to 85.0 points per game. New York is 26-16 with a 7-3 stretch over its last ten and also on a three-game winning streak. The Liberty post a 90.3 points-per-game mark with a 111.6 offensive rating, but their 106.6 defensive rating is weaker than Atlanta’s. New York shoots a better field goal percentage and free throw percentage, but Atlanta’s steadier defensive numbers and better current form give the Dream the cleaner profile in a tight game.
Atlanta’s defense and recent consistency give it a slight but real edge in a game that should stay competitive throughout. New York has the cleaner shooting profile and the stronger free-throw accuracy, but Atlanta’s defense, better recent results, and more favorable spread history point toward the Dream winning a close one. Final score projection: Atlanta Dream 91, New York Liberty 88.
