NFL

Seattle enters with the better scoring margin and the stronger per-play profile, averaging 25.0 points and 6.2 yards per play while allowing only 16.7 points and 3.8 yards per play on defense. Denver has been more uneven: 20.0 points and 5.0 yards per play on offense, but 23.3 points allowed and 5.6 yards per play allowed. The Broncos have also been more turnover-prone on offense with four giveaways, while Seattle’s takeaway profile has helped keep games efficient. Denver’s best path is to keep Seattle out of rhythm and shorten the game, while Seattle’s advantage comes from its more efficient offense and tighter defensive numbers.
Seattle has the cleaner statistical profile, but this game projects as tighter and lower scoring than the broader offensive numbers might imply. Denver’s defense has been more reliable than its record suggests, and Seattle’s defensive efficiency gives this matchup a strong chance to stay controlled for four quarters. The best angle is the under, with a projected final score of Seattle 22, Denver 20.