NFL
Jacksonville enters with a 2-1 record, a strong point differential, and a defense that has allowed only 36 total points so far. The Jaguars are averaging 27.3 points per game on offense and 314.3 total yards per game, with 195.0 passing yards and 119.3 rushing yards per game. Philadelphia is also 2-1, but the profile is more uneven: the Eagles are scoring only 18.3 points per game, sitting at minus-5 in turnover margin, and allowing 23.0 points per game. Both teams have similar passing production, but Jacksonville has the cleaner overall scoring profile and the stronger defensive numbers, while Philadelphia’s offense has not consistently translated yardage into points.
Jacksonville has the better scoring profile, the better defensive profile, and the cleaner turnover outlook, which points to a controlled home win. Philadelphia has struggled against the spread and has not been efficient enough on offense to justify a high team total against a defense allowing only 12.0 points per game. The best angle is Philadelphia Eagles team total under 17.5, with Jacksonville projected to win 24-17 for a 41.0-point game.
