NFL

Denver has been the steadier team through three games, with a 2-1 start and a modest positive offensive output backed by 194.0 passing yards per game and 81.0 rushing yards per game. The Broncos defense has still allowed some yardage, but the group has limited damage better than Los Angeles overall. The Chargers are 0-3, and their offense has struggled to finish drives despite similar passing volume to Denver, because the run game and scoring output have lagged. Los Angeles has also allowed 25.3 points per game, so the burden is on its defense to slow a Denver team that has been more efficient in key spots.
Denver looks like the better side in a game that should be competitive but manageable for the Broncos. The Chargers have not shown enough scoring efficiency to justify trust, while Denver’s offense has been more stable and its defense has been less vulnerable than Los Angeles over the full game. The projection points to a Broncos road win by four, with Denver controlling enough of the pace to finish ahead 24-20.