NFL

Cincinnati enters 2-1 with a plus-17 scoring margin, a strong passing attack, and a defense that has been better than Miami’s across most core measures. Miami is 0-3 with a minus-50 scoring margin, only 12.0 points per game, and a defense allowing 28.7 points per game. The Bengals average 232.0 passing yards per game and 26.7 points per game, while Miami’s offense has managed only 192.3 passing yards and 290.7 total yards per game. Defensively, Cincinnati has allowed 355.7 yards per game, but Miami has been worse in scoring prevention and has struggled to generate consistent takeaways.
Cincinnati looks like the better complete team and should be trusted to win this game outright. The Bengals have the more productive offense, the better scoring margin, and the stronger turnover profile, while Miami has been unable to sustain drives or keep opponents out of the end zone. A projected 24-17 Cincinnati win fits the current market shape and supports a Bengals moneyline position as the clearest value on the board.