COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Texas enters this game at 4-2 after back-to-back losses, but the Longhorns still own a much better defensive profile than Ole Miss and have shown they can win against strong competition. Arch Manning has led a Texas offense averaging 30.2 points and 226.3 passing yards per game, while the defense has limited opponents to 17.8 points and 4.1 yards per play. Ole Miss has put up 37.5 points and 444.5 yards per game, driven by a pass-heavy attack that averages 290.7 passing yards per game and 6.5 yards per play, but the Rebels have allowed 30.8 points and 404.8 yards per game. That contrast points to a game where Texas can control enough of the defensive side to decide it late.
Texas is the better value on the moneyline in a game that should be competitive but still leans home side. The Longhorns’ defense has been far more reliable than Ole Miss’s, and that edge should matter against a Rebels offense that leans heavily on big pass production. With Texas projected to win 31-24, the home team profile fits both the market read and the expected game script, while the total sits in a range where Texas can win without needing a shootout.
