COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Florida Atlantic has started 1-1, with a defense that has not yet settled in and an offense that has been below average in both efficiency and perimeter scoring. The Owls still bring experience and a tougher-strength-of-schedule profile, but the early numbers point to a team that has not consistently controlled games on either end. William & Mary is 2-0 and has looked sharper offensively, with strong shooting splits, a high scoring average, and a clear edge on the glass. The Tribe’s defense has also held opponents to 69.5 points per game, giving them a path to stay competitive even away from home if their shot volume and efficiency remain strong.
William & Mary has the cleaner offensive case in this matchup and enough rebounding plus shooting efficiency to make the road upset viable. Florida Atlantic’s tougher early schedule helps explain some of its numbers, but the Owls have not been efficient enough to justify a heavy favorite price. Projected final score: William & Mary Tribe 76, Florida Atlantic Owls 73.