COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Georgia Tech enters with a perfect record and a strong defensive start, allowing 69.7 points per game. The Yellow Jackets are also winning the rebounding battle at 47.7 boards per game, which is a major reason they are favored. Still, their offensive efficiency has not matched the size of the market move, and the low three-point percentage is a concern if UNC Asheville can force half-court possessions. UNC Asheville has been more volatile, but the Bulldogs have shown real scoring ability and a better perimeter shooting touch. They average 81.5 points per game and have a better field-goal percentage than Georgia Tech. The downside is defense, where they are allowing 81.7 points per game and have been more vulnerable to stronger opponents. That profile points to Georgia Tech winning, but not necessarily separating enough to fully justify the market’s current stance.
Georgia Tech should win at home, but UNC Asheville has enough shot-making to keep the game competitive for longer than the market may expect. The projected final score is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 74, UNC Asheville Bulldogs 60, which supports a lean toward UNC Asheville plus the points while keeping the total near the low 130s.